After further running the numbers, the possibility of any N to NE wind is just under 20%, all other directions about 80%. N to NE wind over 8 mph is about 10%. N to NE over 13 mph is about 1.7%.
Events like getting attacked by cougars while cycling, eaten by sharks, hit by lightning and winning the lottery are pretty darn unlikely. What was that about just being able to outrun your friend?